July 7th Brazil was eliminated from the Copa América quarter-finals after losing to Uruguay 2-4 on penalties in the early hours of this morning.
Following this match, according to data predictions from foreign media, the defending champion Argentina’s Copa América winning probability reached 52.04%, exceeding 50%. Argentina’s semi-final opponent, Canada, has a meager 4.01% chance of winning an upset.
After Brazil’s elimination, it is not only Argentina who benefits. Uruguay’s Copa América winning probability has also soared after this match, increasing from its original 14.52% to 27%; Colombia has also seen its probability rise from its original 11.70% to 16.94%. Canada is the most unfortunate. Before Brazil’s elimination, their winning probability was 4.18%, but after today’s match, it is only 4.01%.
Argentina defeated Neymar-led Brazil 1-0 in the final of the Copa América held in 2021, successfully claiming the crown. In the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, Argentina defeated France in the final to win the World Cup. Since 2023, Argentina has remained at the top of the world rankings.
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