At 1:00 am on July 23rd, Göteborg GAIS will host Solna at Ullevi Arena in the 15th round of the Swedish Superettan.
The two teams are currently ranked 7th and 8th in the Swedish Superettan, with a 2-point difference in points and a 1-goal difference in goal difference. Overall, their strength and positioning are comparable. Both teams have recently experienced ups and downs in form. Göteborg GAIS ended their run of good form in May with 4 wins in 5 rounds, and have been winless in their last 3 rounds (1 draw and 2 losses). Solna has won 2 and lost 5 in their 7 league games since May, but their 2-1 victory last round marked an end to their slump.
It’s worth noting two points. First, in terms of head-to-head record, Göteborg GAIS is at a disadvantage. Solna has won the last 4 encounters against Göteborg GAIS, and in those 4 matches, Göteborg GAIS only scored 1 goal and was shut out in 3. Of course, it needs to be emphasized that the last time the two teams met was 7 years ago in 2017, and there has been significant player turnover, so the reference value is limited.
Secondly, Solna is the team in the Swedish Superettan with the biggest home-away performance disparity. They have won 15 points from 7 home games this season, scoring 18 goals. On the home points table in the Swedish Superettan, Solna’s 71.4% home win rate and average of 2.57 goals per home game are both among the top three. However, they have only earned 5 points from their 7 away games, with a points earning ability that is significantly worse than at home, and their average of 3.0 goals conceded per game is also the highest in the Swedish Superettan. Although most teams in Nordic leagues are stronger at home and weaker away, it’s rare to see such a big difference.
The current transfer window has seen personnel adjustments on both sides. Göteborg GAIS loaned out two young stars and signed 25-year-old striker Hedlund on a free transfer. The versatile forward has already made two appearances after joining and performed well. Solna, on the other hand, changed managers after the 13th round, promoting former assistant coach Goitom. The effect was evident in the last round, as Solna, who had lost 5 of their previous 6 rounds, secured a victory, illustrating the saying “a new manager is like a new knife”.
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